Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIAKIM-18 in Madagascar from 15 Mar 2018 00:00 UTC to 19 Mar 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIAKIM-18

in Madagascar

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIAKIM-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000023-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (16 Mar 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 15.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	93	17.3 million	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	93	18.5 million	No people	Madagascar
3	15 Mar 2018 12:00	83	18.3 million	No people	Madagascar
4	15 Mar 2018 18:00	102	20.5 million	No people	Madagascar
5	16 Mar 2018 00:00	102	20.4 million	No people	Madagascar
6	16 Mar 2018 06:00	83	19.8 million	No people	Madagascar
7	16 Mar 2018 12:00	65	15.3 million	No people	Madagascar
8	16 Mar 2018 18:00	83	20 million	No people	Madagascar
9	17 Mar 2018 00:00	83	19.9 million	No people	Madagascar
10	17 Mar 2018 06:00	83	19.8 million	No people	Madagascar
11	17 Mar 2018 12:00	74	19.2 million	No people	Madagascar
12	17 Mar 2018 18:00	83	17.4 million	No people	Madagascar
13	18 Mar 2018 00:00	74	16.1 million	No people	Madagascar
14	18 Mar 2018 06:00	74	17.8 million	No people	Madagascar
15	18 Mar 2018 12:00	111	15.8 million	No people	Madagascar
16	18 Mar 2018 18:00	111	16.1 million	No people	Madagascar
17	19 Mar 2018 00:00	102	15.5 million	No people	Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	390000 people	-14.1, 55	Madagascar
2	15 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	2.3 million people	-14.9, 53.9	Madagascar
3	15 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	2.7 million people	-15.2, 53	Madagascar
4	15 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	5.9 million people	-15.8, 51.7	Madagascar
5	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	5.9 million people	-16, 51	Madagascar
6	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	6.5 million people	-15.8, 50.5	Madagascar
7	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.5 million people	-15.8, 50	Madagascar
8	16 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	8.2 million people	-15.8, 49.6	Madagascar
9	17 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	10.9 million people	-15.8, 49.6	Madagascar
10	17 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	11.9 million people	-15.9, 49.4	Madagascar
11	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	13.1 million people	-16.5, 49.2	Madagascar
12	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	12 million people	-17.3, 49.6	Madagascar
13	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	-18.4, 49.7	Madagascar
14	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	12.4 million people	-19.4, 49.4	Madagascar
15	18 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.8 million people	-20.1, 49.5	Madagascar
16	18 Mar 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	5.7 million people	-21.2, 49.5	Madagascar
17	19 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	3.9 million people	-22.7, 49.7	Madagascar
17	19 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.6 million people	-24.9, 50.5	Madagascar
17	20 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-27.2, 51.5
17	20 Mar 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	-30, 52.9
17	21 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-32.4, 54.1
17	22 Mar 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-36.8, 57.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Fianarantsoa	Madagascar
Toamasina	Madagascar
Toliara	Madagascar
Antananarivo	Madagascar
Mahajanga	Madagascar
Antsiranana	Madagascar

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Manakara	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	35000 people
Farafangana	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	25000 people
Mananjary	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	27000 people
Sahasinaka	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	-
Fianarantsoa	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	160000 people
Ambositra	Fianarantsoa	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Tolanaro		Madagascar	City	-
Moramanga	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	29000 people
Antananarivo	Antananarivo	Madagascar	Capital	1.4 million people
Tamatave	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	200000 people
Fenerive	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	-
Mananara	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	41000 people
Mandritsara	Mahajanga	Madagascar	City	-
Maroantsetra	Toamasina	Madagascar	City	24000 people
Antalaha	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	34000 people
Andapa	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	20000 people
Sambava	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	31000 people
Ambanja	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	30000 people
Vohemar	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	-
Ambilobe	Antsiranana	Madagascar	City	14000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Manakara Sud	WVK	10	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Farafangana	RVA	8	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3400
Mananjary	MNJ	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Fianarantsoa	WFI	1115	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Ambalavao		972	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3600
Mahanoro	VVB	5	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4400
Atsinanana	ILK	10	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Vatomandry	VAT	12	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3800
Tolagnaro	FTU	8	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Antananarivo Arivonimamo		1450				0
Antananarivo Ivato	TNR	1279	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10100
Toamasina	TMM	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7200
Ambatondrazaka	WAM	766	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Sainte Marie	SMS	2	Civ.	Paved	No	3300
Andriamena	WAD	unknown				0
Tsaratanana	TTS	327	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4300
Mananara Nord	WMR	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Mandritsara	WMA	307	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3700
Maroantsetra	WMN	4	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Port Berge	WPB	65	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4200
Befandriana	WBD	250	Civ.	Unpaved	No	4100
Antalaha Antsirabato	ANM	6	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Anahidrano		60				0
Antsohihy Ambalabe	WAI	28	Civ.	Paved	No	4900
Andapa	ZWA	473	Civ.	Paved	No	4100
Bealanana	WBE	1120				0
Analalava	HVA	105	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3900
Doany	DOA	unknown				0
Sambava	SVB	6	Civ.	Paved	No	5900
Ambanja	IVA	11	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3100
Ampampamena		15				0
Vohemar	VOH	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4200
Ambilobe Mahavavy	AMB	22	Civ.	Paved	No	4900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Manakara	MGWVK	Madagascar
Farafangana	MGRVA	Madagascar
Mananjary	MGMNJ	Madagascar
Manantenina		Madagascar
Mahanoro	MGVVB	Madagascar
Ste Luce		Madagascar
Tolanaro	MGFTU	Madagascar
Vatomandry	MGVAT	Madagascar
Andevoranto		Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina)	MGTMM	Madagascar
Foulpointe		Madagascar
Fenerive		Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie		Madagascar
Saint Mary Island		Madagascar
Mananara	MGWMR	Madagascar
Maroantsetra	MGWMN	Madagascar
Antataha	MGANM	Madagascar
Analalava		Madagascar
Sambava	MGSVB	Madagascar
Maromandia		Madagascar
Vohemar		Madagascar

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Tsiazompaniry	Varahina-Sud	1956
Mantasoa	Varahina-Nord	1938
Antanifotsy	Antanifotsy	1958
Sahamaloto	Sahamaloto	1958

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Maroantsetra, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (163 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 19 Mar 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.6
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.5
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.4
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 15:00	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 16:00	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 16:00	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 16:00	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manakalana	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 09:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.3
	17 Mar 2018 14:00	Ampasimbe	Madagascar	0.3
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 17:00	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 18:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Ilomotro	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Andohonko	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 19:00	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 22:00	Tamatave	Madagascar	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Befasy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 20:00	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 21:00	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 20:00	Vohitsara	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 20:00	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 21:00	Ambodihariha	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 21:00	Antetezambaro	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 22:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Marosiky	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 08:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 14:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 14:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 23:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 03:00	Kalomalala	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Manakambahiny	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambariomena	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antsahabe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Tampina	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 02:00	Vavony	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 03:00	Ampitabe	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 03:00	Amboditafara	Madagascar	0.2
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Manantenina	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 00:00	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.2
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Ampanotoamaizina	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 04:00	Vohitramposina	Madagascar	0.2
	18 Mar 2018 05:00	Vatomandry	Madagascar	0.2
	16 Mar 2018 06:00	Ambalabe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 13:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 02:00	Ambila-Lemaitso	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Maintinandry	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Ambohidara	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 09:00	Andranotsara	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Akondro	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 09:00	Esama	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 07:00	Ankaramanihy	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 14:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Tamotamo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Appontement	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Ankoadavo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Soahazo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 13:00	Moravano	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Seranandavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 12:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Fararano	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Antsorokaka	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambodiharina	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambanihazo	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 08:00	Antsotso Avaratra	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 09:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 00:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 13:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Mahatsaborimaika	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 21:00	Ankarimbary	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 21:00	Savana	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 16:00	Iambaro	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 16:00	Ambazoamazava	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 12:00	Sainte-Luce	Madagascar	0.1
	17 Mar 2018 15:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 11:00	Ampanakana	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 07:00	Ambohitralanana	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Andramy	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 01:00	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Mahanoro	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 06:00	Androrangambo	Madagascar	0.1
	16 Mar 2018 12:00	Antanifatsy	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Ambinanivolo	Madagascar	0.1
	18 Mar 2018 11:00	Masomeloka	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 10:00	Vatomirindry	Madagascar	0.1
	19 Mar 2018 09:00	Ampalaza	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.